scenario_verdict
MiroFish-inspired 3-scenario verdict.json: seed -> entity extract -> escalation score -1..1 -> bear/base/bull probs sum 1.0 -> composite YES prob + fair price hint + key_drivers. Optional GDELT enrichment. For prediction market composite.
What is scenario_verdict?
scenario_verdict is a paid MCP tool in the OSINT & Intelligence category on agenttoll.dev. It costs $0.05 per call, settled in USDC on Base via the x402 payment protocol. No API keys, no accounts — your agent discovers it via /.well-known/agent.json, calls it, pays the $0.05 fee, and receives structured JSON.
Input parameters
{
"seed_text": "required raw OSINT snippet text",
"market_question": "required Polymarket/Kalshi question",
"context": "optional extra context"
}
Example usage
{
"seed_text": "2x tanker attacked near Hormuz, IRGC speedboats reported...",
"market_question": "Will oil price exceed $95 by July 20?"
}
HTTP endpoint
POST to this path with JSON body. Server returns 402 with x402 payment requirements.
/paid/osint/scenario-verdict
How to call scenario_verdict
Connect any MCP-compatible client (Claude Desktop, Cursor, custom agent) to the agenttoll.dev MCP endpoint:
https://agenttoll.dev/mcp
Or call the HTTP endpoint directly with an x402-capable fetch client.
Pricing & payment
FAQ
How much does scenario_verdict cost?
$0.05 per call in USDC on Base. No subscriptions or minimums.
Do I need an API key?
No. Payment is handled by the x402 protocol. Your agent wallet sends USDC on Base, the server verifies the transfer, and returns the data.
Which AI models work with scenario_verdict?
Any model that supports MCP — Claude, GPT-4, Gemini, or local models via an MCP client. The tool returns structured JSON that any model can parse.
How do I verify my payment?
After settlement, check /receipt/<tx> for on-chain verification via Basescan. Every payment is a real USDC transfer to 0x62a0D3d9…
